TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo

Other · August 1, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Rafael Jodar

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.43	70.0%	$0.70	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.34	74.5%	$0.75	+4.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.70

Odds

1.43

Implied

70.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.75

Odds

1.34

Implied

74.5%

Edge

+4.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Rafael Jodar

Best: 74.5% on polymarket

▲+4.5%

Prediction market is 4.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

74.5%

70.0%

Alejandro Tabilo

Best: 30.0% on kalshi

▲+4.5%

Prediction market is 4.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

25.5%

30.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Rafael Jodar

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.700

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.709 avg

+1.22% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.700

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.717

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.734 avg

+4.88% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.700

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+4.71%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $230

Alejandro Tabilo (polymarket, $267) — slippage 6.4% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Rafael Jodarthin	kalshi	1.43	$733	$1047
Alejandro Tabilothin	polymarket	3.92	$267	$1047

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Rafael Jodar

Spread

4.5pp

polymarket at 74.5% vs kalshi at 70.0%

Expected Value

+6.43%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.43) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

15.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $294
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 17h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $4.2K
24h Volume: $4.2K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $4.0K

Resolves: in 14d 17h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 17h · Aug 9, 2026, 12:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 17h · Aug 15, 2026, 11:40 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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