NBALIVE

Live· updated 19s ago

New York vs San Antonio: 4th Quarter Winner

NBA · June 13, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.0M

Platform Prices — Knicks

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.82	35.5%	$0.36	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	2.13	47.0%	$0.47	+11.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.36

Odds

2.82

Implied

35.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.47

Odds

2.13

Implied

47.0%

Edge

+11.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Knicks

Best: 47.0% on kalshi

▲+11.5%

Prediction market is 11.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

35.5%

47.0%

Spurs

Best: 64.5% on polymarket

▲+12.5%

Prediction market is 12.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

64.5%

52.0%

Tie

Best: 5.0% on kalshi

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

5.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Knicks

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.355

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.444 avg

+23.35% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.360

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.528

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.523 avg

+45.31% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.360

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+8.11%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Tie (kalshi, $54) — slippage 194.2% > 10% cap — fillable up to $118

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Knicks	polymarket	2.82	$384	$1081
Spursthin	kalshi	1.92	$562	$1081
Tiethin	kalshi	20.00	$54	$1082

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Knicks

Spread

11.5pp

kalshi at 47.0% vs polymarket at 35.5%

Expected Value

+32.39%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.82) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

17.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $3.8M
24h Volume: $1.7M
Liquidity: $5.7M
Open Interest: $3.3M

Resolves: in 4h

Source: https://www.nba.com/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $1.7K
24h Volume: $1.7K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $1.7K

Resolves: in 14d 4h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 4h · Jun 14, 2026, 12:30 AM
kalshiin 14d 4h · Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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