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Stale· updated 2m ago

New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs - First 5 Innings Winner

MLB · July 30, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — New York Yankees

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.74	36.5%	$0.37	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	2.22	45.0%	$0.45	+8.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.37

Odds

2.74

Implied

36.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.45

Odds

2.22

Implied

45.0%

Edge

+8.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

New York Yankees

Best: 45.0% on kalshi

▲+8.5%

Prediction market is 8.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

36.5%

45.0%

Chicago Cubs

Best: 55.0% on kalshi

▲+18.5%

Prediction market is 18.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

36.5%

55.0%

Draw

Best: 36.5% on polymarket

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

36.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

New York Yankees

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.365

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.460 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.460

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.460 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.460

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Cross-Platform Edge — New York Yankees

Spread

8.5pp

kalshi at 45.0% vs polymarket at 36.5%

Expected Value

+23.29%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.74) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

13.4%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $29
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 20h

Source: https://www.mlb.com/scores

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $3.9K
24h Volume: $2.9K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $3.4K

Resolves: in 3d 20h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 20h · Jul 31, 2026, 6:20 PM
kalshiin 3d 20h · Aug 3, 2026, 6:20 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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