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Live· updated 26s ago

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays - First 5 Innings Winner

MLB · July 5, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — New York Yankees

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.56	39.0%	$0.39	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	2.08	48.0%	$0.48	+9.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.39

Odds

2.56

Implied

39.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.48

Odds

2.08

Implied

48.0%

Edge

+9.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

New York Yankees

Best: 48.0% on kalshi

▲+9.0%

Prediction market is 9.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

39.0%

48.0%

Tampa Bay Rays

Best: 53.0% on kalshi

▲+10.5%

Prediction market is 10.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

42.5%

53.0%

Draw

Best: 18.5% on polymarket

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

18.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

New York Yankees

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.390

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.624 avg

+30.10% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.480

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.769

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.528 avg

+10.03% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.480

polymarket

Cross-Platform Edge — New York Yankees

Spread

9.0pp

kalshi at 48.0% vs polymarket at 39.0%

Expected Value

+23.08%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.56) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

14.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $6.5K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 19h

Source: https://www.mlb.com/scores

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $15.1K
24h Volume: $14.2K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $14.4K

Resolves: in 3d 19h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 19h · Jul 6, 2026, 10:40 PM
kalshiin 3d 19h · Jul 9, 2026, 10:40 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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