TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 9s ago

Newport: Lea Ma vs Clervie Ngounoue

Other · July 6, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Lea Ma

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.70	37.0%	$0.37	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.62	38.1%	$0.38	+1.1pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.37

Odds

2.70

Implied

37.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.38

Odds

2.62

Implied

38.1%

Edge

+1.1pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Lea Ma

Best: 38.1% on polymarket

▲+1.1%

Prediction market is 1.1% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

38.1%

37.0%

Clervie Ngounoue

Best: 63.0% on kalshi

▲+1.1%

Prediction market is 1.1% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

61.9%

63.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Lea Ma

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.370

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.651 avg

+28.85% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.505

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.797

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.866 avg

+10.88% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.781

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.11%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Lea Ma (kalshi, $374) — slippage 4.5% — eats into edge

Clervie Ngounoue (polymarket, $626) — slippage 2.2% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Lea Mathin	kalshi	2.70	$374	$1011
Clervie Ngounouethin	polymarket	1.62	$626	$1011

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Lea Ma

Spread

1.1pp

polymarket at 38.1% vs kalshi at 37.0%

Expected Value

+2.97%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.70) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $68
24h Volume: $68
Liquidity: $3.1K
Open Interest: $68

Resolves: in 7d 9h

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $30
24h Volume: $30
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $30

Resolves: in 14d 9h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 9h · Jul 13, 2026, 5:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 9h · Jul 20, 2026, 4:45 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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