TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

Nottingham 2: Tomas Barrios vs Benjamin Bonzi

Other · June 15, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	3.70	27.0%	$0.27	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	3.64	27.5%	$0.28	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.27

Odds

3.70

Implied

27.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.28

Odds

3.64

Implied

27.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

Best: 27.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

27.5%

27.0%

Benjamin Bonzi

Best: 73.5% on kalshi

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

72.5%

73.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.270

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.345 avg

+9.27% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.315

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.374

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.594 avg

+4.13% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.570

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $291

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (kalshi, $271) — slippage 7.1% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Verathin	kalshi	3.70	$271	$1005
Benjamin Bonzi	polymarket	1.38	$729	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 27.5% vs kalshi at 27.0%

Expected Value

+1.85%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (3.70) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $2.8K
24h Volume: $2.0K
Liquidity: $49.1K
Open Interest: $1.9K

Resolves: in 7d 0h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $611
24h Volume: $611
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $562

Resolves: in 14d 4h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 0h · Jun 22, 2026, 9:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 4h · Jun 29, 2026, 1:30 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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