TennisLIVE

Live· updated 29s ago

Poznan: Maks Kasnikowski vs Lorenzo Giustino

Other · June 15, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Maks Kasnikowski

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.32	75.5%	$0.76	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.30	77.0%	$0.77	+1.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.76

Odds

1.32

Implied

75.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.77

Odds

1.30

Implied

77.0%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Maks Kasnikowski

Best: 77.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

75.5%

77.0%

Lorenzo Giustino

Best: 26.5% on kalshi

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

24.5%

26.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Maks Kasnikowski

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.755

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.807 avg

+1.43% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.795

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.818

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.870 avg

+6.73% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.815

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.00%edge eaten by slippagePARTIAL

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Lorenzo Giustino (polymarket, $245) — slippage 8.1% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Maks Kasnikowski	polymarket	1.32	$755	$1000
Lorenzo Giustino	polymarket	4.08	$245	$1000

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Maks Kasnikowski

Spread

1.5pp

kalshi at 77.0% vs polymarket at 75.5%

Expected Value

+1.99%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.32) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

6.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $12.0K
24h Volume: $10.7K
Liquidity: $26.5K
Open Interest: $7.8K

Resolves: in 6d 0h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $93.7K
24h Volume: $93.5K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $53.5K

Resolves: in 13d 7h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 0h · Jun 22, 2026, 9:00 AM
kalshiin 13d 7h · Jun 29, 2026, 4:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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