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Pozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Ilya Ivashka

Other · July 19, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Chris Rodesch

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.60	62.5%	$0.63	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.56	64.0%	$0.64	+1.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.63

Odds

1.60

Implied

62.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.64

Odds

1.56

Implied

64.0%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Chris Rodesch

Best: 64.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

62.5%

64.0%

Ilya Ivashka

Best: 37.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

37.5%

36.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Chris Rodesch

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.625

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.640 avg

+0.75% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.636

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.645

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.654 avg

+0.07% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.654

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%fillable risk-free returnEXECUTABLE

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Chris Rodesch	polymarket	1.60	$631	$1010
Ilya Ivashkathin	kalshi	2.74	$369	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Chris Rodesch

Spread

1.5pp

kalshi at 64.0% vs polymarket at 62.5%

Expected Value

+2.40%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.60) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

4.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $2.9K
24h Volume: $2.9K
Liquidity: $122.2K
Open Interest: $2.9K

Resolves: in 7d 6h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $5.8K
24h Volume: $5.7K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $5.3K

Resolves: in 14d 6h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 6h · Jul 26, 2026, 8:45 PM
kalshiin 14d 6h · Aug 2, 2026, 8:45 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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