TennisUPCOMING

Stale· updated 3m ago

Pozoblanco: Hugo Grenier vs Cyril Vandermeersch

Other · July 13, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Hugo Grenier

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.55	64.5%	$0.65	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.53	65.5%	$0.66	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.65

Odds

1.55

Implied

64.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.66

Odds

1.53

Implied

65.5%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Hugo Grenier

Best: 65.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

65.5%

64.5%

Cyril Vandermeersch

Best: 35.5% on kalshi

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

34.5%

35.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Hugo Grenier

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.645

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.690 avg

+2.27% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.674

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.705

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.791 avg

+15.93% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.683

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Cyril Vandermeersch (polymarket, $349) — slippage 12.5% > 10% cap — fillable up to $2

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Hugo Grenierthin	kalshi	1.55	$652	$1010
Cyril Vandermeerschthin	polymarket	2.90	$349	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Hugo Grenier

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 65.5% vs kalshi at 64.5%

Expected Value

+1.55%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.55) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $29
24h Volume: $29
Liquidity: $13.9K
Open Interest: $29

Resolves: in 6d 23h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 9h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 23h · Jul 20, 2026, 8:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 9h · Jul 27, 2026, 6:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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