NBALIVE

Live· updated 32s ago

San Antonio vs New York: 4th Quarter Winner

NBA · June 8, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.0M

Platform Prices — Spurs

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.15	46.5%	$0.47	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.96	51.0%	$0.51	+4.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.47

Odds

2.15

Implied

46.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.51

Odds

1.96

Implied

51.0%

Edge

+4.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Spurs

Best: 51.0% on kalshi

▲+4.5%

Prediction market is 4.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

46.5%

51.0%

Knicks

Best: 53.5% on polymarket

▲+4.5%

Prediction market is 4.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

53.5%

49.0%

Tie

Best: 4.0% on kalshi

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

4.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Spurs

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.465

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.499 avg

+6.24% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.470

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.529

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.616 avg

+31.10% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.470

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $181

Tie (kalshi, $40) — slippage 363.3% > 10% cap — fillable up to $7

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Spurs	polymarket	2.15	$467	$1005
Knicksthin	kalshi	2.04	$493	$1005
Tiethin	kalshi	25.00	$40	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Spurs

Spread

4.5pp

kalshi at 51.0% vs polymarket at 46.5%

Expected Value

+9.68%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.15) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

8.4%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $9.5M
24h Volume: $3.1M
Liquidity: $8.5M
Open Interest: $5.8M

Resolves: in 5h

Source: https://www.nba.com/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $1.1K
24h Volume: $1.1K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $1.1K

Resolves: in 14d 5h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 5h · Jun 9, 2026, 12:30 AM
kalshiin 14d 5h · Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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