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San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - First 5 Innings Winner

MLB · June 28, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — San Francisco Giants

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.22	45.0%	$0.45	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.00	50.0%	$0.50	+5.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.45

Odds

2.22

Implied

45.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.50

Odds

2.00

Implied

50.0%

Edge

+5.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

San Francisco Giants

Best: 50.0% on polymarket

▲+5.0%

Prediction market is 5.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

50.0%

45.0%

Arizona Diamondbacks

Best: 61.5% on polymarket

▲+5.5%

Prediction market is 5.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

61.5%

56.0%

Draw

Best: 38.0% on polymarket

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

38.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

San Francisco Giants

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.450

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.540 avg

+18.46% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.456

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.961

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.478 avg

+4.20% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.459

Cross-Platform Edge — San Francisco Giants

Spread

5.0pp

polymarket at 50.0% vs kalshi at 45.0%

Expected Value

+11.11%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.22) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

9.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $5
24h Volume: $5
Liquidity: $331
Open Interest: $8

Resolves: in 1d 1h

Source: https://www.mlb.com/scores

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $4.6K
24h Volume: $4.4K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $4.5K

Resolves: in 4d 1h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 1d 1h · Jun 30, 2026, 1:40 AM
kalshiin 4d 1h · Jul 3, 2026, 1:40 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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