SoccerUPCOMING

Stale· updated 4m ago

SE Palmeiras vs. Fortaleza EC

Copa do Brasil · August 2, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — SE Palmeiras

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.32	76.0%	$0.76	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.30	77.0%	$0.77	+1.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.76

Odds

1.32

Implied

76.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.77

Odds

1.30

Implied

77.0%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

SE Palmeiras

Best: 77.0% on kalshi

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

76.0%

77.0%

Draw

Best: 17.0% on kalshi

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

17.0%

Fortaleza EC

Best: 7.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

6.6%

7.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

SE Palmeiras

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.760

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.770 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.770

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.770

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.779 avg

+0.20% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.777

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.45%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $142

Fortaleza EC (polymarket, $66) — slippage 27.9% > 10% cap — fillable up to $9

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
SE Palmeiras	polymarket	1.32	$763	$1005
Draw	polymarket	5.88	$171	$1005
Fortaleza EC	polymarket	15.27	$66	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — SE Palmeiras

Spread

1.0pp

kalshi at 77.0% vs polymarket at 76.0%

Expected Value

+1.32%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.32) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

4.2%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $21.1K
24h Volume: $20.9K
Liquidity: $245.1K
Open Interest: $20.2K

Resolves: in 7h

Source: https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/copa-do-brasil

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $9.7K
24h Volume: $8.9K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $9.2K

Resolves: in 2d 13h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7h · Aug 2, 2026, 7:00 PM
kalshiin 2d 13h · Aug 5, 2026, 1:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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