TennisUPCOMING

Stale· updated 2m ago

Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubas

Other · July 12, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Jesper De Jong

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.49	67.0%	$0.67	+0.5pp	Bet Here
PolymarketBest	1.50	66.5%	$0.67	---	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.67

Odds

1.49

Implied

67.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.67

Odds

1.50

Implied

66.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Jesper De Jong

Best: 67.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

67.0%

66.5%

Vilius Gaubas

Best: 33.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

32.5%

33.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Jesper De Jong

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.665

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.729 avg

+5.63% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.690

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.768

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.783 avg

+2.06% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.768

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $333

Jesper De Jong (polymarket, $672) — slippage 3.5% — eats into edge

Vilius Gaubas (kalshi, $328) — slippage 3.5% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Jesper De Jongthin	polymarket	1.50	$672	$1010
Vilius Gaubasthin	kalshi	3.08	$328	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Jesper De Jong

Spread

0.5pp

kalshi at 67.0% vs polymarket at 66.5%

Expected Value

+0.75%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.50) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.5%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $67
24h Volume: $24
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $67

Resolves: in 14d 7h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $11
24h Volume: $11
Liquidity: $8.4K
Open Interest: $11

Resolves: in 8d 7h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 8d 7h · Jul 20, 2026, 8:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · Jul 26, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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