TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

Swedish Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Andrea Pellegrino

Other · July 12, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.0

Platform Prices — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.22	45.0%	$0.45	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.06	48.5%	$0.49	+3.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.45

Odds

2.22

Implied

45.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.49

Odds

2.06

Implied

48.5%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Best: 48.5% on polymarket

▲+3.5%

Prediction market is 3.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

45.0%

48.5%

Andrea Pellegrino

Best: 53.5% on kalshi

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

53.5%

51.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.450

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.574 avg

+7.50% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.534

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.614

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.723 avg

+17.71% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.614

Arbitrage Opportunity

+3.63%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (kalshi, $466) — slippage 2.4% — eats into edge

Andrea Pellegrino (polymarket, $534) — slippage 11.4% > 10% cap — fillable up to $14

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Nicolai Budkov Kjaerthin	kalshi	2.22	$466	$1036
Andrea Pellegrinothin	polymarket	1.94	$534	$1036

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Spread

3.5pp

polymarket at 48.5% vs kalshi at 45.0%

Expected Value

+7.78%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.22) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

6.4%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $455
24h Volume: $455
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $455

Resolves: in 14d 7h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $47
24h Volume: $47
Liquidity: $9.6K
Open Interest: $47

Resolves: in 8d 7h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 8d 7h · Jul 20, 2026, 8:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · Jul 26, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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