TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame

Other · July 12, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Nuno Borges

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.26	79.2%	$0.79	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.26	79.5%	$0.80	+0.3pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.79

Odds

1.26

Implied

79.2%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.80

Odds

1.26

Implied

79.5%

Edge

+0.3pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Nuno Borges

Best: 79.5% on kalshi

▲+0.3%

Prediction market is 0.3% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

79.5%

79.2%

Moise Kouame

Best: 20.8% on polymarket

▲+0.3%

Prediction market is 0.3% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

20.5%

20.8%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Nuno Borges

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.792

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.831 avg

+3.16% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.806

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.857

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.898 avg

+7.06% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.839

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.30%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $674

Moise Kouame (kalshi, $206) — slippage 12.4% > 10% cap — fillable up to $138

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Nuno Borgesthin	polymarket	1.26	$794	$1003
Moise Kouamethin	kalshi	4.88	$206	$1003

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Nuno Borges

Spread

0.3pp

kalshi at 79.5% vs polymarket at 79.2%

Expected Value

+0.38%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.26) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.4%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $14
24h Volume: $14
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $14

Resolves: in 14d 7h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $15
24h Volume: $15
Liquidity: $7.2K
Open Interest: $15

Resolves: in 8d 7h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 8d 7h · Jul 20, 2026, 8:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · Jul 26, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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