TennisUPCOMING

Stale· updated 2m ago

Swedish Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Maks Kasnikowski

Other · July 12, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Francesco Passaro

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.98	50.5%	$0.51	---	Bet Here
KalshiBest	1.96	51.0%	$0.51	+0.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.51

Odds

1.98

Implied

50.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.51

Odds

1.96

Implied

51.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Francesco Passaro

Best: 51.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

50.5%

51.0%

Maks Kasnikowski

Best: 49.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

49.5%

49.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Francesco Passaro

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.505

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.523 avg

+1.42% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.516

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.530

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.538 avg

+1.40% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.530

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%fillable risk-free returnEXECUTABLE

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Francesco Passarothin	polymarket	1.98	$507	$1005
Maks Kasnikowskithin	kalshi	2.04	$493	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Francesco Passaro

Spread

0.5pp

kalshi at 51.0% vs polymarket at 50.5%

Expected Value

+0.99%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.98) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $54
24h Volume: $54
Liquidity: $41.6K
Open Interest: $527

Resolves: in 7d 9h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $242
24h Volume: $223
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $242

Resolves: in 14d 7h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 9h · Jul 19, 2026, 10:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · Jul 26, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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