TennisUPCOMING

Stale· updated 2m ago

Swedish Open, Qualification: Gonzalo Bueno vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Other · July 12, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Gonzalo Bueno

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.69	59.0%	$0.59	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.65	60.5%	$0.61	+1.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.59

Odds

1.69

Implied

59.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.61

Odds

1.65

Implied

60.5%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Gonzalo Bueno

Best: 60.5% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

60.5%

59.0%

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Best: 39.5% on kalshi

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

39.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Gonzalo Bueno

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.590

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.614 avg

+1.56% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.605

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.624

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.622 avg

+0.06% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.622

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes (polymarket, $401) — slippage 4.1% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Gonzalo Buenothin	kalshi	1.70	$599	$1015
Igor Ribeiro Marcondesthin	polymarket	2.53	$401	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Gonzalo Bueno

Spread

1.5pp

polymarket at 60.5% vs kalshi at 59.0%

Expected Value

+2.54%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.69) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

3.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $31
24h Volume: $31
Liquidity: $31.0K
Open Interest: $531

Resolves: in 7d 8h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $109
24h Volume: $109
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $108

Resolves: in 14d 7h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 8h · Jul 19, 2026, 8:30 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · Jul 26, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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