TennisUPCOMING

Stale· updated 3m ago

Swedish Open, Qualification: Martin Krumich vs Frederico Ferreira Silva

Other · July 12, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000000000000

Platform Prices — Martin Krumich

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.82	55.0%	$0.55	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.80	55.5%	$0.56	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.55

Odds

1.82

Implied

55.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.56

Odds

1.80

Implied

55.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Martin Krumich

Best: 55.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

55.5%

55.0%

Frederico Ferreira Silva

Best: 46.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

44.5%

46.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Martin Krumich

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.550

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.566 avg

+0.99% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.560

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.571

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.572 avg

+0.20% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.571

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Frederico Ferreira Silva (polymarket, $447) — slippage 5.1% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Martin Krumichthin	kalshi	1.82	$553	$1005
Frederico Ferreira Silvathin	polymarket	2.25	$447	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Martin Krumich

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 55.5% vs kalshi at 55.0%

Expected Value

+0.91%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.82) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $66
24h Volume: $66
Liquidity: $42.1K
Open Interest: $795

Resolves: in 7d 8h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $48
24h Volume: $22
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $39

Resolves: in 14d 7h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 8h · Jul 19, 2026, 8:30 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · Jul 26, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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