TennisUPCOMING

Stale· updated 3m ago

Swiss Open: Alexandre Muller vs Alexander Shevchenko

Other · July 13, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Alexandre Muller

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.38	42.0%	$0.42	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.30	43.5%	$0.44	+1.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.42

Odds

2.38

Implied

42.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.44

Odds

2.30

Implied

43.5%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Alexandre Muller

Best: 43.5% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

43.5%

42.0%

Alexander Shevchenko

Best: 58.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

56.5%

58.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Alexandre Muller

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.420

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.465 avg

+0.24% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.464

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.467

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.618 avg

+4.57% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.591

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%fillable risk-free returnEXECUTABLE

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Alexandre Mullerthin	kalshi	2.38	$426	$1015
Alexander Shevchenkothin	polymarket	1.77	$574	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Alexandre Muller

Spread

1.5pp

polymarket at 43.5% vs kalshi at 42.0%

Expected Value

+3.57%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.38) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.6%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $32
24h Volume: $32
Liquidity: $42.3K
Open Interest: $23

Resolves: in 7d 5h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $6.9K
24h Volume: $3.8K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $6.1K

Resolves: in 13d 5h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 5h · Jul 20, 2026, 8:00 AM
kalshiin 13d 5h · Jul 26, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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