TennisUPCOMING

Stale· updated 4m ago

Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Stan Wawrinka

Other · July 12, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Jaime Faria

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.59	63.0%	$0.63	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.56	64.0%	$0.64	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.63

Odds

1.59

Implied

63.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.64

Odds

1.56

Implied

64.0%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Jaime Faria

Best: 64.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

63.0%

64.0%

Stan Wawrinka

Best: 36.0% on polymarket

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

36.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Jaime Faria

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.630

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.692 avg

+2.74% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.673

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.710

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.817 avg

+15.01% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.710

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $286

Stan Wawrinka (kalshi, $364) — slippage 5.9% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Jaime Fariathin	kalshi	1.59	$636	$1010
Stan Wawrinkathin	kalshi	2.78	$364	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Jaime Faria

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 64.0% vs kalshi at 63.0%

Expected Value

+1.59%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.59) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $606
24h Volume: $500
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $606

Resolves: in 14d 7h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $16
24h Volume: $16
Liquidity: $8.6K
Open Interest: $7

Resolves: in 8d 7h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 8d 7h · Jul 20, 2026, 8:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · Jul 26, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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