TennisUPCOMING

Stale· updated 3m ago

Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Other · July 12, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Kilian Feldbausch

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	3.64	27.5%	$0.28	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	3.39	29.5%	$0.30	+2.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.28

Odds

3.64

Implied

27.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.30

Odds

3.39

Implied

29.5%

Edge

+2.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Kilian Feldbausch

Best: 29.5% on polymarket

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

27.5%

29.5%

Miomir Kecmanovic

Best: 71.5% on kalshi

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

71.5%

70.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Kilian Feldbausch

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.275

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.470 avg

+4.98% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.448

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.492

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.705 avg

+43.22% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.492

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.04%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Kilian Feldbausch (kalshi, $281) — slippage 5.9% — eats into edge

Miomir Kecmanovic (polymarket, $719) — slippage 3.7% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Kilian Feldbauschthin	kalshi	3.64	$281	$1020
Miomir Kecmanovicthin	polymarket	1.42	$719	$1020

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Kilian Feldbausch

Spread

2.0pp

polymarket at 29.5% vs kalshi at 27.5%

Expected Value

+7.27%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (3.64) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $364
24h Volume: $364
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $364

Resolves: in 14d 7h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $12
24h Volume: $12
Liquidity: $9.9K
Open Interest: $12

Resolves: in 8d 7h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 8d 7h · Jul 20, 2026, 8:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · Jul 26, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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