SoccerUPCOMING

Stale· updated 3m ago

Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kawasaki Frontale

Japan J League · August 9, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Tōkyō Verdy

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	3.33	30.0%	$0.30	+0.5pp	Bet Here
KalshiBest	3.39	29.5%	$0.30	---	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.30

Odds

3.33

Implied

30.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.30

Odds

3.39

Implied

29.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Tōkyō Verdy

Best: 30.0% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

30.0%

29.5%

Draw

Best: 29.5% on kalshi

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

29.5%

Kawasaki Frontale

Best: 41.0% on kalshi

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

40.0%

41.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Tōkyō Verdy

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.295

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.347 avg

+0.54% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.345

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.348

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.528 avg

+51.60% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.348

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $547

Tōkyō Verdy (kalshi, $298) — slippage 4.7% — eats into edge

Draw (polymarket, $298) — slippage 2.5% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Tōkyō Verdythin	kalshi	3.39	$298	$1010
Drawthin	polymarket	3.39	$298	$1010
Kawasaki Frontalethin	polymarket	2.50	$404	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Tōkyō Verdy

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 30.0% vs kalshi at 29.5%

Expected Value

+1.69%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (3.39) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $38.7K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 1d 6h

Source: https://www.jleague.jp/en/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $1.6K
24h Volume: $33
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $1.4K

Resolves: in 3d 12h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 1d 6h · Aug 9, 2026, 9:00 AM
kalshiin 3d 12h · Aug 11, 2026, 3:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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