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The Memphis Classic: Renata Zarazua vs McCartney Kessler

Other · July 26, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Renata Zarazua

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	4.55	22.0%	$0.22	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	3.92	25.5%	$0.26	+3.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.22

Odds

4.55

Implied

22.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.26

Odds

3.92

Implied

25.5%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Renata Zarazua

Best: 25.5% on polymarket

▲+3.5%

Prediction market is 3.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

25.5%

22.0%

McCartney Kessler

Best: 74.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

74.5%

73.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Renata Zarazua

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.220

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.502 avg

+27.36% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.394

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.610

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.673 avg

+10.31% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.610

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+4.71%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Renata Zarazua (kalshi, $230) — slippage 29.1% > 10% cap — fillable up to $11

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Renata Zarazuathin	kalshi	4.54	$230	$1047
McCartney Kesslerthin	kalshi	1.36	$770	$1047

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Renata Zarazua

Spread

3.5pp

polymarket at 25.5% vs kalshi at 22.0%

Expected Value

+15.91%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (4.55) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

4.5%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $26
24h Volume: $26
Liquidity: $5.4K
Open Interest: $13

Resolves: in 6d 19h

Source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $26
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $13

Resolves: in 14d 19h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 19h · Aug 2, 2026, 3:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 19h · Aug 10, 2026, 3:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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