BaseballLIVE

Live· updated 14s ago

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners - First 5 Innings Winner

MLB · July 2, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Toronto Blue Jays

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.08	48.0%	$0.48	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.89	53.0%	$0.53	+5.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.48

Odds

2.08

Implied

48.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.53

Odds

1.89

Implied

53.0%

Edge

+5.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Toronto Blue Jays

Best: 53.0% on kalshi

▲+5.0%

Prediction market is 5.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

48.0%

53.0%

Seattle Mariners

Best: 48.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

48.0%

47.0%

Draw

Best: 48.0% on polymarket

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

48.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Toronto Blue Jays

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.480

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.533 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.533

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.539 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.539

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Cross-Platform Edge — Toronto Blue Jays

Spread

5.0pp

kalshi at 53.0% vs polymarket at 48.0%

Expected Value

+10.42%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.08) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

9.6%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $23
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 1d 1h

Source: https://www.mlb.com/scores

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $4.4K
24h Volume: $4.3K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $4.1K

Resolves: in 4d 1h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 1d 1h · Jul 4, 2026, 2:10 AM
kalshiin 4d 1h · Jul 7, 2026, 2:10 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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