TennisLIVE

Live· updated 1m ago

Trieste: Lukas Neumayer vs Andrej Nedic

Other · July 5, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Lukas Neumayer

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.79	56.0%	$0.56	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.67	60.0%	$0.60	+4.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.56

Odds

1.79

Implied

56.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.60

Odds

1.67

Implied

60.0%

Edge

+4.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Lukas Neumayer

Best: 60.0% on polymarket

▲+4.0%

Prediction market is 4.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

56.0%

60.0%

Andrej Nedic

Best: 40.0% on polymarket

▲+4.0%

Prediction market is 4.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

36.0%

40.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Lukas Neumayer

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.560

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.777 avg

+7.62% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.722

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.832

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.891 avg

+23.47% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.722

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+8.70%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Lukas Neumayer (kalshi, $609) — slippage 5.1% — eats into edge

Andrej Nedic (kalshi, $391) — slippage 101.0% > 10% cap — fillable up to $20

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Lukas Neumayerthin	kalshi	1.79	$609	$1087
Andrej Nedicthin	kalshi	2.78	$391	$1087

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Lukas Neumayer

Spread

4.0pp

polymarket at 60.0% vs kalshi at 56.0%

Expected Value

+7.14%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.79) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

9.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 13d 16h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $13.6K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 16h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 16h · Jul 13, 2026, 8:00 AM
kalshiin 13d 16h · Jul 19, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

Related Events

Tennis

▲+16.0%

ITF Stuttgart-Vaihingen: Alice Tubello vs Anastasiya Sobolieva

Vol: $256K

Tennis

▲+12.0%

Trieste: Federico Bondioli vs Joel Schwaerzler

Vol: $57.5

Tennis

▲+12.0%

Trieste: Andrea Guerrieri vs Oriol Roca Batalla

Vol: $12.944068999999999

Tennis

▲+8.5%

Trieste: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Hugo Dellien

Vol: $161.357982

18+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-522-4700. OddsBridge does not accept bets -- we provide odds comparison and informational content only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Odds and prices shown may not reflect the most current values. Always verify prices on the platform before placing a bet or trade.