Politics · July 3, 2026
Best Price
Worst Price
Max Gap
Total Volume
Best: 4.0% on kalshi
Best: 3.0% on kalshi
Best: 6.5% on kalshi
Best: 18.0% on kalshi
Best: 27.0% on kalshi
Best: 26.0% on kalshi
Best: 4.0% on kalshi
Best: 8.0% on kalshi
For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
| Outcome | Platform | Odds | Stake | To win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 39.6thin | kalshi | 25.00 | $42 | $1038 |
Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.
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Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.
Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.
Theoretical ceiling at our data: full SB stake limits + PM/Kalshi depth-25k floor.
| 39.6 to 39.8thin |
| kalshi |
| 33.33 |
| $31 |
| $1037 |
| 39.9 to 40.1thin | kalshi | 15.38 | $67 | $1037 |
| 40.2 to 40.4thin | kalshi | 5.56 | $187 | $1036 |
| 40.5 to 40.7thin | kalshi | 3.70 | $280 | $1036 |
| 40.8 to 41.0thin | kalshi | 3.85 | $269 | $1036 |
| 41.1 to 41.3thin | kalshi | 25.00 | $42 | $1038 |
| Above 41.3thin | kalshi | 12.50 | $83 | $1036 |
Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.