TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

Tucuman: Samuel Heredia vs Hernan Casanova

Other · June 10, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.0000000000000

Platform Prices — Samuel Heredia

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	5.26	19.0%	$0.19	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	3.92	25.5%	$0.26	+6.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.19

Odds

5.26

Implied

19.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.26

Odds

3.92

Implied

25.5%

Edge

+6.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Samuel Heredia

Best: 25.5% on polymarket

▲+6.5%

Prediction market is 6.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

25.5%

19.0%

Hernan Casanova

Best: 76.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

74.5%

76.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Samuel Heredia

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.190

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.586 avg

+16.99% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.501

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.671

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.775 avg

+15.42% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.671

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+6.95%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $281

Samuel Heredia (kalshi, $203) — slippage 17.7% > 10% cap — fillable up to $57

Hernan Casanova (polymarket, $797) — slippage 2.9% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Samuel Herediathin	kalshi	5.26	$203	$1069
Hernan Casanovathin	polymarket	1.34	$797	$1069

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Samuel Heredia

Spread

6.5pp

polymarket at 25.5% vs kalshi at 19.0%

Expected Value

+34.21%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (5.26) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

8.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $792
24h Volume: $792
Liquidity: $3.0K
Open Interest: $792

Resolves: in 7d 6h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $97
24h Volume: $97
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $70

Resolves: in 14d 4h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 6h · Jun 17, 2026, 2:30 PM
kalshiin 14d 4h · Jun 24, 2026, 1:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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