MMAUPCOMING

Live· updated 29s ago

UFC 329: Farid Basharat vs. John Garza (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)

UFC · July 11, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Farid Basharat

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.22	82.0%	$0.82	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.21	82.5%	$0.83	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.82

Odds

1.22

Implied

82.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.83

Odds

1.21

Implied

82.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Farid Basharat

Best: 82.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

82.5%

82.0%

John Garza

Best: 19.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

17.5%

19.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Farid Basharat

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.820

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.847 avg

+2.06% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.830

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.864

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.873 avg

+3.79% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.841

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

John Garza (polymarket, $176) — slippage 27.4% > 10% cap — fillable up to $4

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Farid Basharatthin	kalshi	1.22	$824	$1005
John Garzathin	polymarket	5.71	$176	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Farid Basharat

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 82.5% vs kalshi at 82.0%

Expected Value

+0.61%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.22) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $179
24h Volume: $123
Liquidity: $30.0K
Open Interest: $346

Resolves: in 3d 0h

Source: https://www.ufc.com/events

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $17.0K
24h Volume: $12.3K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $16.4K

Resolves: in 16d 18h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 3d 0h · Jul 12, 2026, 3:59 AM
kalshiin 16d 18h · Jul 25, 2026, 9:40 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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