MMAUPCOMING

Stale· updated 3m ago

UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)

UFC · July 18, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Damien Anderson

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.85	54.0%	$0.54	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.80	55.5%	$0.56	+1.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.54

Odds

1.85

Implied

54.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.56

Odds

1.80

Implied

55.5%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Damien Anderson

Best: 55.5% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

55.5%

54.0%

Ezra Elliott

Best: 47.0% on kalshi

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

44.5%

47.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Damien Anderson

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.540

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.550 avg

+1.85% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.540

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.560

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.557 avg

+0.70% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.553

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%fillable risk-free returnEXECUTABLE

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Damien Andersonthin	kalshi	1.85	$548	$1015
Ezra Elliott	polymarket	2.25	$452	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Damien Anderson

Spread

1.5pp

polymarket at 55.5% vs kalshi at 54.0%

Expected Value

+2.78%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.85) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

3.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $19.1K
24h Volume: $16.7K
Liquidity: $156.6K
Open Interest: $17.3K

Resolves: in 1d 1h

Source: https://www.ufc.com/events

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $63.0K
24h Volume: $48.1K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $57.0K

Resolves: in 14d 18h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 1d 1h · Jul 19, 2026, 3:59 AM
kalshiin 14d 18h · Aug 1, 2026, 9:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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