SoccerUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

VfL Osnabrück vs. 1. FC Magdeburg

Bundesliga 2 · August 15, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000000000000

Platform Prices — VfL Osnabrück

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.67	37.5%	$0.38	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.60	38.5%	$0.39	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.38

Odds

2.67

Implied

37.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.39

Odds

2.60

Implied

38.5%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

VfL Osnabrück

Best: 38.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

38.5%

37.5%

Draw

Best: 25.0% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

25.0%

24.5%

1. FC Magdeburg

Best: 37.0% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

37.0%

36.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

VfL Osnabrück

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.375

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.543 avg

+28.08% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.424

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.662

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.549 avg

+4.28% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.526

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $611

VfL Osnabrück (kalshi, $381) — slippage 2.3% — eats into edge

Draw (kalshi, $249) — slippage 7.1% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
VfL Osnabrückthin	kalshi	2.67	$381	$1015
Drawthin	kalshi	4.08	$249	$1015
1. FC Magdeburgthin	kalshi	2.74	$371	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — VfL Osnabrück

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 38.5% vs kalshi at 37.5%

Expected Value

+2.67%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.67) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.6%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $122
24h Volume: $98
Liquidity: $17.1K
Open Interest: $122

Resolves: in 3d 23h

Source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $4
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $4

Resolves: in 6d 5h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 3d 23h · Aug 15, 2026, 11:00 AM
kalshiin 6d 5h · Aug 17, 2026, 5:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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