TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 19s ago

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Alexis Galarneau vs Oliver Tarvet

Tennis · June 24, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Alexis Galarneau

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.86	35.0%	$0.35	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.60	38.5%	$0.39	+3.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.35

Odds

2.86

Implied

35.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.39

Odds

2.60

Implied

38.5%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Alexis Galarneau

Best: 38.5% on polymarket

▲+3.5%

Prediction market is 3.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

38.5%

35.0%

Oliver Tarvet

Best: 69.0% on kalshi

▲+7.5%

Prediction market is 7.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

61.5%

69.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Alexis Galarneau

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.350

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.721 avg

+31.89% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.546

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.895

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.787 avg

+2.81% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.766

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+3.63%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Alexis Galarneau (kalshi, $363) — slippage 3.7% — eats into edge

Oliver Tarvet (polymarket, $637) — slippage 26.3% > 10% cap — fillable up to $112

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Alexis Galarneauthin	kalshi	2.86	$363	$1036
Oliver Tarvetthin	polymarket	1.63	$637	$1036

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Alexis Galarneau

Spread

3.5pp

polymarket at 38.5% vs kalshi at 35.0%

Expected Value

+10.00%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.86) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

5.4%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $170
24h Volume: $170
Liquidity: $2.0K
Open Interest: $170

Resolves: in 8d 14h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $136
24h Volume: $136
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $107

Resolves: in 15d 14h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 8d 14h · Jul 1, 2026, 10:00 AM
kalshiin 15d 14h · Jul 8, 2026, 10:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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