TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Rei Sakamoto

Tennis · June 23, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Aziz Dougaz

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	3.23	31.0%	$0.31	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	3.17	31.5%	$0.32	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.31

Odds

3.23

Implied

31.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.32

Odds

3.17

Implied

31.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Aziz Dougaz

Best: 31.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

31.0%

31.5%

Rei Sakamoto

Best: 70.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

70.0%

68.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Aziz Dougaz

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.310

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.609 avg

+10.44% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.552

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.667

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.800 avg

+0.45% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.797

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $130

Aziz Dougaz (kalshi, $312) — slippage 4.9% — eats into edge

Rei Sakamoto (polymarket, $688) — slippage 11.6% > 10% cap — fillable up to $90

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Aziz Dougazthin	kalshi	3.23	$312	$1005
Rei Sakamotothin	polymarket	1.46	$688	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Aziz Dougaz

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 31.5% vs kalshi at 31.0%

Expected Value

+1.61%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (3.23) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $224
24h Volume: $224
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $215

Resolves: in 14d 13h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $9
24h Volume: $9
Liquidity: $16.8K
Open Interest: $9

Resolves: in 8d 14h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 8d 14h · Jul 1, 2026, 10:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 13h · Jul 7, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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