TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 28s ago

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Darwin Blanch

Tennis · June 24, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Dane Sweeny

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.38	42.0%	$0.42	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.17	46.0%	$0.46	+4.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.42

Odds

2.38

Implied

42.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.46

Odds

2.17

Implied

46.0%

Edge

+4.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Dane Sweeny

Best: 46.0% on polymarket

▲+4.0%

Prediction market is 4.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

46.0%

42.0%

Darwin Blanch

Best: 57.0% on kalshi

▲+3.0%

Prediction market is 3.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

54.0%

57.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Dane Sweeny

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.420

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.765 avg

+27.37% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.600

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.929

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.850 avg

+1.89% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.834

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+4.17%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Darwin Blanch (polymarket, $563) — slippage 20.3% > 10% cap — fillable up to $14

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Dane Sweenythin	kalshi	2.38	$438	$1042
Darwin Blanchthin	polymarket	1.85	$563	$1042

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Dane Sweeny

Spread

4.0pp

polymarket at 46.0% vs kalshi at 42.0%

Expected Value

+9.52%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.38) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

6.9%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $1.5K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 8d 14h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $861
24h Volume: $861
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $839

Resolves: in 15d 14h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 8d 14h · Jul 1, 2026, 10:00 AM
kalshiin 15d 14h · Jul 8, 2026, 10:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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