TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Francesco Maestrelli vs Max Basing

Tennis · June 22, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000000000000

Platform Prices — Francesco Maestrelli

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.68	59.5%	$0.60	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.65	60.5%	$0.61	+1.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.60

Odds

1.68

Implied

59.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.61

Odds

1.65

Implied

60.5%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Francesco Maestrelli

Best: 60.5% on kalshi

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

59.5%

60.5%

Max Basing

Best: 40.5% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

40.5%

39.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Francesco Maestrelli

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.595

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.805 avg

+17.95% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.683

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.928

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.823 avg

+2.59% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.803

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Francesco Maestrelli (polymarket, $604) — slippage 25.5% > 10% cap — fillable up to $6

Max Basing (kalshi, $396) — slippage 2.8% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Francesco Maestrellithin	polymarket	1.68	$604	$1015
Max Basingthin	kalshi	2.56	$396	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Francesco Maestrelli

Spread

1.0pp

kalshi at 60.5% vs polymarket at 59.5%

Expected Value

+1.68%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.68) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.5%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $458
24h Volume: $458
Liquidity: $2.9K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 19h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 15h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 19h · Jun 29, 2026, 2:30 PM
kalshiin 14d 15h · Jul 6, 2026, 10:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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