TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Christopher O'Connell

Tennis · June 22, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Joel Schwaerzler

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	4.76	21.0%	$0.21	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	4.65	21.5%	$0.22	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.21

Odds

4.76

Implied

21.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.22

Odds

4.65

Implied

21.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Joel Schwaerzler

Best: 21.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

21.5%

21.0%

Christopher O'Connell

Best: 79.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

78.5%

79.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Joel Schwaerzler

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.210

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.506 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.506

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.749 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.749

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Joel Schwaerzler (kalshi, $211) — slippage 34.4% > 10% cap — fillable up to $3

Christopher O'Connell (polymarket, $789) — slippage 3.1% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Joel Schwaerzlerthin	kalshi	4.76	$211	$1005
Christopher O'Connellthin	polymarket	1.27	$789	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Joel Schwaerzler

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 21.5% vs kalshi at 21.0%

Expected Value

+2.38%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (4.76) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.6%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $244
24h Volume: $244
Liquidity: $5.5K
Open Interest: $244

Resolves: in 7d 19h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $255
24h Volume: $255
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $255

Resolves: in 14d 15h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 19h · Jun 29, 2026, 2:30 PM
kalshiin 14d 15h · Jul 6, 2026, 10:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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