TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 53s ago

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Keegan Smith vs Juan Pablo Ficovich

Tennis · June 22, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Keegan Smith

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.64	61.0%	$0.61	+0.5pp	Bet Here
KalshiBest	1.65	60.5%	$0.61	---	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.61

Odds

1.64

Implied

61.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.61

Odds

1.65

Implied

60.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Keegan Smith

Best: 61.0% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

61.0%

60.5%

Juan Pablo Ficovich

Best: 40.0% on kalshi

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

39.0%

40.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Keegan Smith

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.605

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.639 avg

+0.64% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.635

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.640

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.773 avg

+21.82% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.635

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Juan Pablo Ficovich (polymarket, $392) — not enough depth at $392 — fillable up to $2

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Keegan Smiththin	kalshi	1.65	$608	$1005
Juan Pablo Ficovichthin	polymarket	2.56	$392	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Keegan Smith

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 61.0% vs kalshi at 60.5%

Expected Value

+0.83%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.65) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $795
24h Volume: $795
Liquidity: $11.0K
Open Interest: $764

Resolves: in 7d 16h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $697
24h Volume: $697
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $697

Resolves: in 14d 15h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 16h · Jun 29, 2026, 11:30 AM
kalshiin 14d 15h · Jul 6, 2026, 10:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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