TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 58s ago

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Otto Virtanen

Tennis · June 24, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Luca Nardi

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	3.51	28.5%	$0.28	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	3.33	30.0%	$0.30	+1.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.28

Odds

3.51

Implied

28.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.30

Odds

3.33

Implied

30.0%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Luca Nardi

Best: 30.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

28.5%

30.0%

Otto Virtanen

Best: 71.5% on polymarket

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

71.5%

69.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Luca Nardi

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.285

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.535 avg

+6.88% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.500

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.569

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.785 avg

+56.88% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.500

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.04%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Luca Nardi (polymarket, $291) — slippage 39.7% > 10% cap — fillable up to $16

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Luca Nardithin	polymarket	3.51	$291	$1020
Otto Virtanenthin	kalshi	1.44	$709	$1021

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Luca Nardi

Spread

1.5pp

kalshi at 30.0% vs polymarket at 28.5%

Expected Value

+5.26%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (3.51) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $290
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 8d 14h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $145
24h Volume: $145
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $145

Resolves: in 15d 14h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 8d 14h · Jul 1, 2026, 10:00 AM
kalshiin 15d 14h · Jul 8, 2026, 10:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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