TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 16s ago

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Matej Dodig vs Frederico Ferreira Silva

Tennis · June 22, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Matej Dodig

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.22	45.0%	$0.45	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.20	45.5%	$0.46	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.45

Odds

2.22

Implied

45.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.46

Odds

2.20

Implied

45.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Matej Dodig

Best: 45.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

45.5%

45.0%

Frederico Ferreira Silva

Best: 56.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

54.5%

56.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Matej Dodig

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.450

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.483 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.483

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.714 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.714

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $411

Frederico Ferreira Silva (polymarket, $548) — slippage 3.8% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Matej Dodigthin	kalshi	2.22	$452	$1005
Frederico Ferreira Silvathin	polymarket	1.83	$548	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Matej Dodig

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 45.5% vs kalshi at 45.0%

Expected Value

+1.11%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.22) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.9%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $287
24h Volume: $287
Liquidity: $8.1K
Open Interest: $174

Resolves: in 7d 18h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $2
24h Volume: $2
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $2

Resolves: in 14d 15h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 18h · Jun 29, 2026, 1:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 15h · Jul 6, 2026, 10:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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