TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 21s ago

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Tristan Boyer

Tennis · June 25, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.72	58.0%	$0.58	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.11	90.0%	$0.90	+32.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.58

Odds

1.72

Implied

58.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.90

Odds

1.11

Implied

90.0%

Edge

+32.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Best: 90.0% on polymarket

▲+32.0%

Prediction market is 32.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

90.0%

58.0%

Tristan Boyer

Best: 45.0% on kalshi

▲+35.0%

Prediction market is 35.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

10.0%

45.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.580

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.837 avg

+13.88% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.735

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.939

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.924 avg

+7.05% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.863

Arbitrage Opportunity

+47.06%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Pablo Llamas Ruiz (kalshi, $853) — slippage 5.3% — eats into edge

Tristan Boyer (polymarket, $147) — slippage 105.9% > 10% cap — fillable up to $2

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Pablo Llamas Ruizthin	kalshi	1.72	$853	$1470
Tristan Boyerthin	polymarket	10.00	$147	$1471

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Spread

32.0pp

polymarket at 90.0% vs kalshi at 58.0%

Expected Value

+55.17%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.72) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

25.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $102
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 14h

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $150
24h Volume: $150
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $150

Resolves: in 14d 15h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 14h · Jul 2, 2026, 9:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 15h · Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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