Track election odds, policy outcomes, and political futures across all major platforms.
Events
Avg Gap
Best Arb
Showing 1 to 20 of 2355 results
2028 Democratic presidential nominee - Hunter Biden
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? - Gavin Newsom
2028 Republican presidential nominee - Thomas Massie
California Governor winner? (Person) - Xavier Becerra
Which party will win the U.S. House? - Democratic Party
Florida Republican Governor nominee? - Byron Donalds
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death) - Before August 1, 2026
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? - Lee Zeldin
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? - D-House, D-Senate
Which party will win the U.S. Senate? - Democratic Party
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? - Edmundo González
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland? - Before 2027
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? - Kash Patel
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee? - Mallory McMorrow
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026? - No one
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? - Benjamin Netanyahu
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland? - Before 2027
Showing 1 to 20 of 2355 results
Political prediction markets have experienced explosive growth, driven by landmark events like US presidential elections and major policy decisions. Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have made political betting accessible to a broad audience, while select international sportsbooks also offer political markets. OddsBridge provides comprehensive cross-platform comparison for political outcomes.
US presidential elections are the crown jewel of political prediction markets. The 2024 cycle saw record-breaking volume on Polymarket, with hundreds of millions of dollars traded on election outcomes. These high-profile markets attract diverse participants -- from political junkies to quantitative traders -- creating a rich pricing landscape that can differ significantly from sportsbook odds.
Political prediction markets tend to show the highest cross-platform gaps of any category we track, averaging 5.1%. This elevated gap reflects the fundamental differences in how prediction market participants and sportsbook oddsmakers evaluate political outcomes. Prediction markets aggregate the "wisdom of the crowd" while sportsbooks rely on modeling and expert analysis. Neither approach is strictly superior, creating persistent pricing differences.
Beyond elections, political prediction markets now cover Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, legislative outcomes, geopolitical events, Supreme Court decisions, and cabinet appointments. These niche markets often have lower liquidity and higher gaps, offering opportunities for informed participants. OddsBridge tracks gap patterns across political market types to help users identify which categories consistently offer the best cross-platform value.
OddsBridge covers US presidential, congressional, and gubernatorial elections, international elections, Federal Reserve decisions, policy outcome markets, and geopolitical events. Political markets update every five minutes with real-time alerts available for premium members.