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Stale· updated 5m ago

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians - First 5 Innings Winner

MLB · July 30, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Arizona Diamondbacks

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.17	46.0%	$0.46	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.02	49.5%	$0.50	+3.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.46

Odds

2.17

Implied

46.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.50

Odds

2.02

Implied

49.5%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Arizona Diamondbacks

Best: 49.5% on polymarket

▲+3.5%

Prediction market is 3.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

49.5%

46.0%

Cleveland Guardians

Best: 55.0% on kalshi

▲+5.5%

Prediction market is 5.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

49.5%

55.0%

Draw

Best: 54.5% on polymarket

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

54.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Arizona Diamondbacks

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.460

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.460 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.460

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.460 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.460

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Cross-Platform Edge — Arizona Diamondbacks

Spread

3.5pp

polymarket at 49.5% vs kalshi at 46.0%

Expected Value

+7.61%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.17) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

6.5%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $29
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 1d 1h

Source: https://www.mlb.com/scores

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $1.5K
24h Volume: $1.3K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $1.4K

Resolves: in 4d 1h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 1d 1h · Jul 31, 2026, 11:10 PM
kalshiin 4d 1h · Aug 3, 2026, 11:10 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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