SoccerUPCOMING

Stale· updated 4m ago

CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Puebla

Liga MX · July 21, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — CF Cruz Azul

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.49	67.0%	$0.67	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.41	71.0%	$0.71	+4.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.67

Odds

1.49

Implied

67.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.71

Odds

1.41

Implied

71.0%

Edge

+4.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

CF Cruz Azul

Best: 71.0% on polymarket

▲+4.0%

Prediction market is 4.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

71.0%

67.0%

Draw

Best: 20.0% on kalshi

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

17.5%

20.0%

Club Puebla

Best: 11.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

11.0%

10.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

CF Cruz Azul

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.670

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.782 avg

+5.25% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.743

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.821

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.837 avg

+9.96% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.761

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+5.82%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Draw (polymarket, $185) — slippage 69.0% > 10% cap — fillable up to $3

Club Puebla (kalshi, $106) — slippage 15.8% > 10% cap — fillable up to $34

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
CF Cruz Azulthin	kalshi	1.49	$709	$1059
Drawthin	polymarket	5.71	$185	$1058
Club Pueblathin	kalshi	10.00	$106	$1058

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — CF Cruz Azul

Spread

4.0pp

polymarket at 71.0% vs kalshi at 67.0%

Expected Value

+5.97%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.49) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

12.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $15.2K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 4d 19h

Source: https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidos

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $478
24h Volume: $127
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $475

Resolves: in 18d 19h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 4d 19h · Jul 22, 2026, 1:00 AM
kalshiin 18d 19h · Aug 5, 2026, 1:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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