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ITF Asuncion: Ana Candiotto vs Julia Caffarena

Other · June 23, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Ana Candiotto

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.06	94.5%	$0.95	---	Bet Here
KalshiBest	1.05	95.0%	$0.95	+0.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.95

Odds

1.06

Implied

94.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.95

Odds

1.05

Implied

95.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Ana Candiotto

Best: 95.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

94.5%

95.0%

Julia Caffarena

Best: 7.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

5.5%

7.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Ana Candiotto

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.945

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.961 avg

+1.15% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.950

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.963

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.968 avg

+1.88% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.950

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.00%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Julia Caffarena (polymarket, $55) — not enough depth at $55 — fillable up to $0

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Ana Candiottothin	polymarket	1.06	$945	$1000
Julia Caffarenathin	polymarket	18.18	$55	$1000

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Ana Candiotto

Spread

0.5pp

kalshi at 95.0% vs polymarket at 94.5%

Expected Value

+0.53%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.06) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

9.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $237
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 0h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $586
24h Volume: $436
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $570

Resolves: in 14d 0h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 0h · Jun 30, 2026, 7:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 0h · Jul 7, 2026, 7:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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