TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 38s ago

ITF Bakio: Pablo Roche Alcaya vs Emile Hudd

Other · June 23, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Pablo Roche Alcaya

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	11.11	9.0%	$0.09	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.00	50.0%	$0.50	+41.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.09

Odds

11.11

Implied

9.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.50

Odds

2.00

Implied

50.0%

Edge

+41.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Pablo Roche Alcaya

Best: 50.0% on polymarket

▲+41.0%

Prediction market is 41.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

50.0%

9.0%

Emile Hudd

Best: 91.5% on kalshi

▲+41.5%

Prediction market is 41.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

50.0%

91.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Pablo Roche Alcaya

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.090

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.412 avg

-0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.412

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.758 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.758

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+69.49%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Pablo Roche Alcaya (kalshi, $153) — slippage 69.0% > 10% cap — fillable up to $32

Emile Hudd (polymarket, $848) — not enough depth at $848 — fillable up to $35

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Pablo Roche Alcayathin	kalshi	11.11	$153	$1694
Emile Huddthin	polymarket	2.00	$848	$1695

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Pablo Roche Alcaya

Spread

41.0pp

polymarket at 50.0% vs kalshi at 9.0%

Expected Value

+455.56%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (11.11) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

25.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 3h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $56
24h Volume: $56
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $56

Resolves: in 14d 3h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 3h · Jun 30, 2026, 10:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 3h · Jul 7, 2026, 10:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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