TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 15s ago

ITF Bergamo: Giovanni Oradini vs Tobia Grandinetti

Other · June 23, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000

Platform Prices — Giovanni Oradini

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.20	45.5%	$0.46	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.08	93.0%	$0.93	+47.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.46

Odds

2.20

Implied

45.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.93

Odds

1.08

Implied

93.0%

Edge

+47.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Giovanni Oradini

Best: 93.0% on kalshi

▲+47.5%

Prediction market is 47.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

45.5%

93.0%

Tobia Grandinetti

Best: 54.5% on polymarket

▲+45.5%

Prediction market is 45.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

54.5%

9.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Giovanni Oradini

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.455

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.947 avg

+3.04% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.919

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.952

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.962 avg

+4.67% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.919

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+83.49%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $766

Tobia Grandinetti (kalshi, $165) — slippage 115.0% > 10% cap — fillable up to $126

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Giovanni Oradinithin	polymarket	2.20	$835	$1835
Tobia Grandinettithin	kalshi	11.11	$165	$1834

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Giovanni Oradini

Spread

47.5pp

kalshi at 93.0% vs polymarket at 45.5%

Expected Value

+104.40%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.20) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

25.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $36
24h Volume: $36
Liquidity: $32
Open Interest: $36

Resolves: in 7d 3h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $167
24h Volume: $125
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $121

Resolves: in 14d 3h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 3h · Jun 30, 2026, 10:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 3h · Jul 7, 2026, 10:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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