TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 31s ago

ITF Casablanca: Marta Soriano Santiago vs Nina Vargova

Other · June 7, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000

Platform Prices — Marta Soriano Santiago

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	7.14	14.0%	$0.14	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	6.25	16.0%	$0.16	+2.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.14

Odds

7.14

Implied

14.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.16

Odds

6.25

Implied

16.0%

Edge

+2.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Marta Soriano Santiago

Best: 16.0% on polymarket

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

16.0%

14.0%

Nina Vargova

Best: 86.5% on kalshi

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

84.0%

86.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Marta Soriano Santiago

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.140

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.501 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.501

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.742 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.742

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.04%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Marta Soriano Santiago (kalshi, $143) — slippage 59.3% > 10% cap

Nina Vargova (polymarket, $857) — slippage 2.0% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Marta Soriano Santiagothin	kalshi	7.14	$143	$1021
Nina Vargovathin	polymarket	1.19	$857	$1020

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Marta Soriano Santiago

Spread

2.0pp

polymarket at 16.0% vs kalshi at 14.0%

Expected Value

+14.29%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (7.14) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $11
24h Volume: $11
Liquidity: $416
Open Interest: $11

Resolves: in 7d 5h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 10h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 5h · Jun 14, 2026, 9:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 10h · Jun 21, 2026, 2:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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