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ITF Cuiaba: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Nick Hardt

Other · June 7, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Carlos Maria Zarate

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	5.56	18.0%	$0.18	+0.5pp	Bet Here
KalshiBest	5.71	17.5%	$0.18	---	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.18

Odds

5.56

Implied

18.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.18

Odds

5.71

Implied

17.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Carlos Maria Zarate

Best: 18.0% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

18.0%

17.5%

Nick Hardt

Best: 82.5% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

82.0%

82.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Carlos Maria Zarate

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.175

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.539 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.539

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.809 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.809

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Carlos Maria Zarate (kalshi, $176) — slippage 87.6% > 10% cap

Nick Hardt (polymarket, $824) — slippage 2.2% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Carlos Maria Zaratethin	kalshi	5.71	$176	$1005
Nick Hardtthin	polymarket	1.22	$824	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Carlos Maria Zarate

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 18.0% vs kalshi at 17.5%

Expected Value

+2.86%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (5.71) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.6%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $1
24h Volume: $1
Liquidity: $1.2K
Open Interest: $1

Resolves: in 7d 8h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 8h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 8h · Jun 14, 2026, 10:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 8h · Jun 21, 2026, 10:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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