TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Gran Canaria: Emma Lene vs Francesca Curmi

Other · July 31, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Emma Lene

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	4.08	24.5%	$0.25	---	Bet Here
KalshiBest	4.00	25.0%	$0.25	+0.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.25

Odds

4.08

Implied

24.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.25

Odds

4.00

Implied

25.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Emma Lene

Best: 25.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

24.5%

25.0%

Francesca Curmi

Best: 75.5% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

75.5%

74.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Emma Lene

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.245

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.358 avg

+19.64% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.299

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.417

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.603 avg

+44.71% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.417

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $502

Emma Lene (polymarket, $249) — slippage 5.8% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Emma Lenethin	polymarket	4.08	$249	$1015
Francesca Curmithin	kalshi	1.35	$751	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Emma Lene

Spread

0.5pp

kalshi at 25.0% vs polymarket at 24.5%

Expected Value

+2.04%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (4.08) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $12.0K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 10h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $210
24h Volume: $210
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $210

Resolves: in 14d 10h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 10h · Aug 7, 2026, 10:30 AM
kalshiin 14d 10h · Aug 14, 2026, 10:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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