TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Las Palmas: Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Aya El Aouni

Other · July 24, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Carmen Gallardo Guevara

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.83	54.5%	$0.55	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.79	56.0%	$0.56	+1.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.55

Odds

1.83

Implied

54.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.56

Odds

1.79

Implied

56.0%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Carmen Gallardo Guevara

Best: 56.0% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

56.0%

54.5%

Aya El Aouni

Best: 44.0% on kalshi

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

44.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Carmen Gallardo Guevara

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.545

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.601 avg

+2.81% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.585

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.618

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.723 avg

+16.99% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.618

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Aya El Aouni (polymarket, $447) — slippage 4.3% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Carmen Gallardo Guevarathin	kalshi	1.83	$553	$1015
Aya El Aounithin	polymarket	2.27	$447	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Carmen Gallardo Guevara

Spread

1.5pp

polymarket at 56.0% vs kalshi at 54.5%

Expected Value

+2.75%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.83) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

3.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $4
24h Volume: $4
Liquidity: $8.5K
Open Interest: $4

Resolves: in 7d 9h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $1.1K
24h Volume: $1.1K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $1.1K

Resolves: in 14d 9h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 9h · Jul 31, 2026, 10:15 AM
kalshiin 14d 9h · Aug 7, 2026, 10:15 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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