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Stale· updated 2m ago

ITF M15 Bali 2 Men: Asahi Harazaki vs Hikaru Shiraishi

Other · July 27, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Asahi Harazaki

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.02	49.5%	$0.50	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.98	50.5%	$0.51	+1.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.50

Odds

2.02

Implied

49.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.51

Odds

1.98

Implied

50.5%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Asahi Harazaki

Best: 50.5% on kalshi

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

50.5%

49.5%

Hikaru Shiraishi

Best: 50.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

49.5%

50.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Asahi Harazaki

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.495

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.600 avg

+11.06% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.540

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.659

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.695 avg

+5.42% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.659

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Asahi Harazaki (polymarket, $500) — slippage 5.8% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Asahi Harazakithin	polymarket	2.02	$500	$1010
Hikaru Shiraishithin	kalshi	2.02	$500	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Asahi Harazaki

Spread

1.0pp

kalshi at 50.5% vs polymarket at 49.5%

Expected Value

+2.02%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.02) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 8h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $5.6K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 8h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 8h · Aug 4, 2026, 2:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 8h · Aug 11, 2026, 2:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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